What Is SharpPicks?

SharpPicks is a sports market intelligence platform. It uses a mathematical model to identify games where the betting market has gotten the number wrong. When the model finds a big enough difference, it generates a signal: essentially a recommendation worth considering. It currently covers the NBA (with MLB in beta and WNBA coming soon).

The 5 Main Tabs

1. Signals (Home Screen)

This is your daily dashboard. Here's what you'll see:

Market Intelligence Banner: A quick summary of the day's landscape. For example, "9 games · 6 edges · 2 signals · 22% density" means: out of 9 NBA games today, the model found 6 where it disagrees with the market, but only 2 were strong enough to become official signals. The 22% density tells you how active the model is.

Daily Top Signal: The main event. This is the app's strongest pick for the day. Here's what each piece means:

Team Name + Number (e.g., Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5): The "-8.5" is the spread. It means the model is recommending OKC, but they need to win by more than 8.5 points for the bet to pay out.

+12.8% (Edge): This is the edge -- the percentage difference between where the market has the line and where the model thinks it should be. Bigger = better.

-105 (Price/Odds): This tells you the cost of the bet. At -105, you'd risk $105 to win $100.

Market vs. Model: The market line is -8.5 (what sportsbooks are offering). The model line is -13 (what the model thinks the line should be). That gap is where the value comes from.

Tier (STR): Signal strength. "STR" stands for Strong, the model's highest conviction level.

Size (2u): The recommended bet size in units. A "unit" is your standard bet amount.

Edge bar (+12.8pp): A visual showing the edge in percentage points.

Flat 2u vs. Kelly 5u: Two bet-sizing strategies. "Flat" means bet the same amount every time. "Kelly" is a mathematical formula that sizes bets proportional to the edge.

Season Performance: A snapshot of the model's overall track record -- win rate, ROI, average CLV, signals count, and net units.

2. Market

A deeper look at the day's full slate of games.

MEI (Market Efficiency Index): A score from 0-100 measuring how much opportunity the model sees across all games today. Higher = more opportunities.

Regime: The model's assessment of the current market environment.

Top Edge: The best single edge found today.

Signal breakdown: How many edges exist at each confidence level. Only the strong and sometimes moderate ones become official signals.

Line Movement: Shows how the betting line for each game has moved, and whether it's moving toward or away from the model's prediction.

Model vs. Market Delta: A ranked list showing the gap between the model's line and the market line for every game.

3. Results

Your personal scoreboard.

Your Results: Shows your actual profit/loss if you've been tracking bets.

ROI: Your personal return on investment across tracked bets.

Equity Curve: The line chart showing your profit over time.

Discipline Score: This grades how selectively you're following signals. A lower selectivity rate means you're being more choosy than the industry average.

Picks Followed vs. Passed: How many signals you acted on versus skipped.

Capital Preserved: An estimate of money saved by passing on picks that turned out to be losing bets.

4. Insights (Sharp Journal)

Educational content and daily commentary from the founder. Articles are tagged by category: Philosophy (the thinking behind the approach), Discipline (mindset and bankroll management), Market Notes (daily analysis), and How It Works (technical explanations).

5. Account

Your personal settings and subscription management.

Key Concepts Glossary