Market Reports / April 14, 2026 / Evening Edition

NBA Slate Recap | April 14, 2026

2 games analyzed 1 signal Net: -1.0u
Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

The board is loaded. 1 signals from 2 edges.

April 14, 2026 · Updated 2026-04-14T18:17:34.582115Z
Evan Cole · Head of Signal Intelligence
Observation

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 33, signaling a normal environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
1 / 2
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
1 of 2 1 of 2
Top Edge · Settled
Phoenix Suns -2.5 3.5 to 4.4%
Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · POR 79, PHX 72
Model: -4.3 · Close: -2.5 · CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
POR @ PHX +3.8%
-1.0u
MIA @ CHA +2.1%
Final MIA 126-127 CHA
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on 1 of 2 settled games.

POR @ PHX
Open: -3.5 · Close: +3.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets 2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The entry did not hold and the close did not help. Logged either way.
Sharp Principle

Every signal tracked. Nothing removed.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
›
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
4-3
CLV beat
1 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 1 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
This Week's Reports
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Apr 13 Apr 14 Apr 15 Apr 16 Apr 17 Apr 18 Apr 19
Related
Passes1 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GamePOR @ PHX› GameMIA @ CHA› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnCLV Calculator› MorningHow the morning called it: NBA market report›

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