NBA Market Report | April 14, 2026
Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On April 14, 2026, that process resulted in 1 published signal and 1 passes.
MEI
33
NORMAL
Top Edge
3.5 to 4.4%
POR @ PHX
Density
50.0%
1 of 2
Passed
1
of 2
Signal
Signal Published
Phoenix Suns -2.5
Market
-2.5
Model
-4.3
Edge
3.5 to 4.4%
Status
SIGNAL
SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
POR @ PHX
-2.5
3.5 to 4.4%
SIGNAL
MIA @ CHA
-6.0
2 to 3.4%
PASS
Line Movement
Portland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns
-7.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
4-3
CLV beat
1 of 7
Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes1 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings›
GamePOR @ PHX›
GameMIA @ CHA›
WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnEdge Calculator›
TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›
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