NBA Market Report | April 15, 2026
Most slates look efficient on the surface. On April 15, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 2 NBA games and found only 1 signal worth sending, with 1 games falling short of the threshold.
MEI
37
NORMAL
Top Edge
4.5%+
ORL @ PHI
Density
50.0%
1 of 2
Passed
1
of 2
Signal
Signal Published
Orlando Magic +2.0
Market
2.0
Model
0.1
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
ORL @ PHI
2.0
4.5%+
SIGNAL
GSW @ LAC
-5.5
2 to 3.4%
PASS
Line Movement
Orlando Magic @ Philadelphia 76ers
-9.0 pts away
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers
+1.0 pts toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7
Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes1 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings›
GameORL @ PHI›
GameGSW @ LAC›
WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnCLV Calculator›
Only the signal layer is hidden.
Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.
Claim Founding Spot