NBA Market Report | May 2, 2026
Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 1 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.
MEI
60
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
PHI @ BOS
Density
100.0%
1 of 1
Passed
0
of 1
Signal
Signal Published
Philadelphia 76ers +7.5
Market
7.5
Model
3.4
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
PHI @ BOS
7.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
4-3
CLV beat
2 of 7
The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 0 games like these that you do not play.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes0 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings›
GamePHI @ BOS›
WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting›
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