NBA Market Report | May 9, 2026
Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On May 9, 2026, that process resulted in 1 published signal and 1 passes.
MEI
44
NORMAL
Top Edge
4.5%+
DET @ CLE
Density
50.0%
1 of 2
Passed
1
of 2
Signal
Signal Published
Detroit Pistons +4.5
Market
4.5
Model
0.6
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
DET @ CLE
4.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
OKC @ LAL
-8.5
2 to 3.4%
PASS
Line Movement
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
-2.0 pts away
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers
+9.0 pts toward model
Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers
No movement
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
4-3
CLV beat
2 of 7
Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes1 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings›
GameDET @ CLE›
GameOKC @ LAL›
WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›
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