NBA Market Report | May 10, 2026
Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On May 10, 2026, that process resulted in 2 published signals and 0 passes.
MEI
59
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
NYK @ PHI
Density
100.0%
2 of 2
Passed
0
of 2
Signal
Signal Published
New York Knicks -1.5
Market
-1.5
Model
-4.7
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
NYK @ PHI
-1.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
SAS @ MIN
-4.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
Line Movement
San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves
-9.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
4-3
CLV beat
2 of 7
The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 0 games like these that you do not play.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes0 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings›
GameNYK @ PHI›
GameSAS @ MIN›
WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›
TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›
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