Value sitting with the underdogs tonight. 2 signals, mostly dogs.
June 14, 2026 · Updated 2026-06-14T16:13:52.916650Z
Observation
The model reviewed 15 MLB games on June 14, 2026 and found 11 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 2 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
10 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
10 of 15
5 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Seattle Mariners -1.5
4.5%+
Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals · SEA 1, WAS 10
Model: -2.0
·
Close: 1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
HOU @ KC
+12.0%
Final HOU 0-4 KC
TEX @ BOS
-12.0%
Final TEX 6-4 BOS
TB @ LAA
-11.3%
Final TB 8-3 LAA
SEA @ WAS
-9.3%
-1.0u
ARI @ CIN
-8.7%
Final ARI 5-3 CIN
COL @ OAK
-6.6%
Final COL 23-9 OAK
MIA @ PIT
-1.6%
Final MIA 4-2 PIT
LAD @ CHW
-0.7%
Final LAD 4-6 CHW
SD @ BAL
-1.5%
Final SD 5-2 BAL
CHC @ SF
-3.0%
Final CHC 1-5 SF
ATL @ NYM
-5.0%
Final ATL 1-8 NYM
PHI @ MIL
+7.9%
Final PHI 0-4 MIL
STL @ MIN
+9.7%
Final STL 4-5 MIN
NYY @ TOR
+10.6%
Final NYY 8-3 TOR
DET @ CLE
+13.8%
Final DET 0-0 CLE
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 5 of 15 settled games.
DET @ CLE
Open: -1.5
·
Close: +1.5
HOU @ KC
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
NYY @ TOR
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
ARI @ CIN
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
ATL @ NYM
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHC @ SF
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The entry did not hold and the close did not help. Logged either way.
Sharp Principle
One night proves nothing. The ledger proves everything.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›