Market Reports / June 15, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 15, 2026

10 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 81

Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On June 15, 2026, that process resulted in 3 published signals and 7 passes.

MEI
81
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
COL @ CHC
Density
30.0%
3 of 10
Passed
7
of 10
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Colorado Rockies +1.5
COL @ CHC
Market
1.5
Model
-0.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
COL @ CHC 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAA @ ARI -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PIT @ OAK 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DET @ HOU -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIA @ PHI 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TB @ LAD -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIN @ TEX 1.5 Below 2% PASS
KC @ WAS 1.5 Below 2% PASS
SD @ STL 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
NYM @ CIN 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies +1.1 pp toward model
Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals +1.1 pp toward model
New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds +0.9 pp toward model
San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals -0.3 pp away
Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs -0.8 pp away
Minnesota Twins @ Texas Rangers +2.5 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
5 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 3. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes7 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameCOL @ CHC› GameLAA @ ARI› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator›

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