Market Reports / June 18, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 18, 2026

9 games analyzed 1 signal MEI: 72

Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On June 18, 2026, that process resulted in 1 published signal and 8 passes.

MEI
72
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
TOR @ BOS
Density
11.0%
1 of 9
Passed
8
of 9
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Minnesota Twins -1.5
MIN @ TEX
Market
-1.5
Model
-2.7
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
TOR @ BOS 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIN @ TEX -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
STL @ KC -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYM @ PHI -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BAL @ SEA 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CHW @ NYY 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CLE @ MIL 1.5 Below 2% PASS
SF @ ATL 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
LAA @ OAK 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox -3.0 pp away
New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies +1.6 pp toward model
Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees -3.1 pp away
San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves +0.7 pp toward model
St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals +1.3 pp toward model
Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics -4.5 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
5 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 1. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes8 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameTOR @ BOS› GameMIN @ TEX› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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