Market Reports / June 16, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 16, 2026

15 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 71

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 9 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
71
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
TOR @ BOS
Density
20.0%
3 of 15
Passed
12
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Toronto Blue Jays -1.5
TOR @ BOS
Market
-1.5
Model
-2.2
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
TOR @ BOS -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TB @ LAD -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
COL @ CHC 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
DET @ HOU 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SF @ ATL 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
MIA @ PHI 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CLE @ MIL 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
BAL @ SEA 1.5 Below 2% PASS
PIT @ OAK 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
KC @ WAS 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
LAA @ ARI 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHW @ NYY 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIN @ TEX 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYM @ CIN 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SD @ STL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies -0.8 pp away
Kansas City Royals @ Washington Nationals -3.1 pp away
Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees -0.2 pp away
San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves -2.1 pp away
Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers -1.0 pp away
San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals +0.9 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
5 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 3. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes12 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameTOR @ BOS› GameTB @ LAD› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnCLV Calculator›

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