3 signals from tonight's 13 game slate.
July 17, 2026 · Updated 2026-07-17T16:13:32.787818Z
Observation
Most slates look efficient on the surface. On July 17, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 13 MLB games and found only 3 signals worth sending, with 10 games falling short of the threshold.
Slate Result
+0.0u
Net · 0-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
9 / 13
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
9 of 13
4 of 13
Top Edge · Settled
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
4.5%+
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians · PIT 0, CLE 0
Model: 0.5
·
Close: 1.5
·
CLV: --
Pending
Edge Map
LAD @ NYY
-12.0%
Final LAD 2-1 NYY
PIT @ CLE
-12.0%
Final PIT 0-0 CLE
BAL @ HOU
-12.0%
Final BAL 3-2 HOU
CIN @ COL
-12.0%
Final CIN 7-2 COL
STL @ ARI
-12.0%
Final STL 4-2 ARI
TB @ BOS
-12.0%
Final TB 3-5 BOS
SD @ KC
-11.7%
Final SD 6-7 KC
DET @ LAA
-11.5%
Final DET 0-1 LAA
TEX @ ATL
-11.4%
Final TEX 1-15 ATL
SF @ SEA
-5.8%
Final SF 3-0 SEA
MIN @ CHC
-0.5%
Final MIN 5-2 CHC
MIA @ MIL
-2.6%
Final MIA 1-2 MIL
CHW @ TOR
-5.1%
Final CHW 12-4 TOR
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 4 of 13 settled games.
BAL @ HOU
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
CIN @ COL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
DET @ LAA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
MIA @ MIL
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
MIN @ CHC
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
SF @ SEA
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The entries held and the close agreed. Both matter.
Sharp Principle
The math does not celebrate.
How the morning called it
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