Market Reports / July 17, 2026

MLB Market Report | July 17, 2026

13 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 85

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 11 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
85
RARE INEFFICIENCY
Top Edge
4.5%+
LAD @ NYY
Density
23.0%
3 of 13
Passed
10
of 13
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
PIT @ CLE
Market
1.5
Model
0.5
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
LAD @ NYY -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PIT @ CLE 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
BAL @ HOU -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CIN @ COL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
STL @ ARI -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TB @ BOS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SD @ KC -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DET @ LAA -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TEX @ ATL 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SF @ SEA 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIN @ CHC 1.5 Below 2% PASS
MIA @ MIL 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CHW @ TOR 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees +0.5 pp toward model
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians -0.2 pp away
Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays +0.9 pp toward model
San Diego Padres @ Kansas City Royals +5.0 pp toward model
Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves +0.5 pp toward model
Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers No movement
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
5 of 7

This slate had 13 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 3. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
Jul 13 Jul 14 Jul 15 Jul 16 Jul 17 Jul 18 Jul 19
Related
Passes10 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameLAD @ NYY› GamePIT @ CLE› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnCLV Calculator› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

Claim Founding Spot