Market Reports / July 16, 2026

MLB Market Report | July 16, 2026

1 game analyzed 0 signals MEI: 23

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 23, signaling a quiet environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
23
QUIET
Top Edge
3.5 to 4.4%
NYM @ PHI
Density
0.0%
0 of 1
Passed
1
of 1
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
No game cleared the qualification filter on this slate

Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
NYM @ PHI 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
Line Movement
New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies +0.9 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
5 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Passes1 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameNYM @ PHI› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone›

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