Signal density at 58 percent. The market is mispricing tonight.
March 29, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-29T16:59:00.627826Z
Observation
This slate produced a market efficiency score of 92, signaling a rare inefficiency environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.
Slate Result
+0.8u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
6 / 1
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
6 of 1
-5 of 1
Top Edge · Settled
Colorado Rockies +1.5
4.5%+
Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins · COL 3, MIA 4
Model: -1.7
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Win · +0.8u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
COL @ MIA
-15.0%
+0.8u
PIT @ NYM
-15.0%
Pending
CHW @ MIL
-15.0%
Pending
WAS @ CHC
-15.0%
Pending
LAA @ HOU
-14.9%
Pending
TB @ STL
-14.5%
Pending
TEX @ PHI
-6.0%
Pending
KC @ ATL
-3.4%
Pending
CLE @ SEA
-2.1%
Pending
OAK @ TOR
-1.2%
Pending
MIN @ BAL
-0.9%
Pending
BOS @ CIN
+8.1%
Pending
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on -5 of 1 settled games.
BOS @ CIN
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
COL @ MIA
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
LAA @ HOU
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
PIT @ NYM
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHW @ MIL
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CLE @ SEA
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Tampa Bay Rays vs St. Louis Cardinals
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners
2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Cleared, closed, banked. The ledger records it without adjectives.
Sharp Principle
Every signal tracked. Nothing removed.
How the morning called it
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