Market Reports / April 12, 2026

NBA Market Report | April 12, 2026

15 games analyzed 0 signals MEI: 55

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 6 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
55
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
CHI @ DAL
Density
0.0%
0 of 15
Passed
15
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
No game cleared the qualification filter on this slate

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
ORL @ BOS 13.0 4.5%+ FILTERED
DEN @ SAS 11.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
UTA @ LAL 14.5 Below 2% PASS
NOP @ MIN -5.0 Below 2% PASS
SAC @ POR 17.0 Below 2% PASS
CHA @ NYK 14.0 Below 2% PASS
MIL @ PHI 15.5 Below 2% PASS
PHX @ OKC 7.5 Below 2% PASS
GSW @ LAC -6.5 Below 2% PASS
DET @ IND 14.0 2 to 3.4% PASS
BKN @ TOR 23.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
MEM @ HOU 13.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
ATL @ MIA 8.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
WAS @ CLE 11.0 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHI @ DAL -6.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics +14.5 pts toward model
Brooklyn Nets @ Toronto Raptors -12.0 pts away
Charlotte Hornets @ New York Knicks -2.5 pts away
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers -2.0 pts away
Detroit Pistons @ Indiana Pacers +3.0 pts toward model
Milwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers -6.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
4-3
CLV beat
1 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 0. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes15 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameCHI @ DAL› GameWAS @ CLE› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator›

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