WNBA Market Report | July 16, 2026
Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 2 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.
MEI
51
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
Portland Fire @ WAS
Density
50.0%
1 of 2
Passed
1
of 2
Signal
Signal Published
Washington Mystics -5.5
Market
-5.5
Model
-14.7
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
Portland Fire @ WAS
-5.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
NYL @ DAL
-1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
Line Movement
Portland Fire @ Washington Mystics
+1.0 pts toward model
New York Liberty @ Dallas Wings
No movement
Recent performance ยท WNBA
Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.
This slate had 2 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 1. Selectivity compounds.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes1 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings›
GamePortland Fire @ WAS›
GameNYL @ DAL›
WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting›
TonightHow the slate played out: WNBA evening edition›
Only the signal layer is hidden.
Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.
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