Market Reports / July 18, 2026

WNBA Market Report | July 18, 2026

3 games analyzed 1 signal MEI: 41

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 41, signaling a normal environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
41
NORMAL
Top Edge
4.5%+
NYL @ IND
Density
33.0%
1 of 3
Passed
2
of 3
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Signal
Signal Published
Indiana Fever +1.5
NYL @ IND
Market
1.5
Model
-11.1
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
NYL @ IND 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
Portland Fire @ MIN -13.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
WAS @ GSV 9.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever -1.0 pts away
Portland Fire @ Minnesota Lynx +1.0 pts toward model
Washington Mystics @ Golden State Valkyries No movement
Recent performance ยท WNBA

Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes2 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings› GameNYL @ IND› GamePortland Fire @ MIN› WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary› LearnEdge Calculator› TonightHow the slate played out: WNBA evening edition›

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