Market Reports / July 19, 2026

WNBA Market Report | July 19, 2026

3 games analyzed 1 signal MEI: 32

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 32, signaling a normal environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
32
NORMAL
Top Edge
4.5%+
CON @ PHO
Density
33.0%
1 of 3
Passed
2
of 3
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Signal
Signal Published
Connecticut Sun +3.5
CON @ PHO
Market
3.5
Model
0.7
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
CON @ PHO 3.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAS @ DAL 9.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CHI @ ATL 10.5 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Los Angeles Sparks @ Dallas Wings -1.0 pts away
Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream -13.0 pts away
Connecticut Sun @ Phoenix Mercury -1.0 pts away
Recent performance ยท WNBA

Recent sample below reporting threshold. Figures publish once 7 signals are graded.

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 2 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes2 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's WNBA edge rankings› GameCON @ PHO› GameLAS @ DAL› WeeklyWNBA Weekly Summary› LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone›

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