Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

The entire slate narrows to one pick: Phoenix Suns.

Observation

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 57, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

Slate Result
+1.0u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
6 / 3
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
6 of 3 -3 of 3
Top Edge · Settled
Houston Rockets +1.0 4.5%+
New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets
Model: -0.8 · Close: 1.0 · CLV: +0.0
Win · +1.0u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
PHX @ ORL -12.0%
Final PHX 111-115 ORL
POR @ LAC -12.0%
Pending
NYK @ HOU +5.5%
+1.0u
CHA @ BKN -2.2%
Final CHA 117-86 BKN
CLE @ LAL +2.1%
Final CLE 101-120 LAL
DAL @ MIL +1.1%
Pending
TOR @ DET -1.2%
Pending
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on -3 of 3 settled games.

NYK @ HOU
Open: +1.0 · Close: -18.5
Model edge
CHA @ BKN
Open: +16.0 · Close: +31.5
Market efficient
CLE @ LAL
Open: -2.0 · Close: -9.5
Market efficient
DAL @ MIL
Open: +1.0 · Close: -24.5
Market efficient
PHX @ ORL
Open: -2.0 · Close: -2.5
Market efficient
POR @ LAC
Open: -5.5 · Close: -2.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Clippers 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets 2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A green night. The grade that counts is still the closing line.
Sharp Principle

The close is the referee.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
2-4-1
CLV beat
0 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 6 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
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Related
Passes6 games the model passed on EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings GamePHX @ ORL GamePOR @ LAC WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary LearnCLV Calculator MorningHow the morning called it: NBA market report

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