Market Reports / March 30, 2026

NBA Market Report | March 30, 2026

8 games analyzed 5 signals MEI: 83

The model reviewed 8 NBA games on March 30, 2026 and found 6 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 5 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

MEI
83
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
PHX @ MEM
Density
62.0%
5 of 8
Passed
3
of 8
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Signal
Signal Published
Memphis Grizzlies +12.5
PHX @ MEM
Market
12.5
Model
5.7
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
PHX @ MEM 12.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
DET @ OKC 13.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHI @ SAS -18.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CLE @ UTA 17.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
WAS @ LAL -16.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PHI @ MIA -2.0 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIN @ DAL 7.0 Below 2% PASS
BOS @ ATL 1.0 Below 2% PASS
Line Movement
Philadelphia 76ers @ Miami Heat -10.5 pts away
Boston Celtics @ Atlanta Hawks -6.5 pts away
Chicago Bulls @ San Antonio Spurs -3.5 pts away
Phoenix Suns @ Memphis Grizzlies -9.5 pts away
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Utah Jazz +8.0 pts toward model
Detroit Pistons @ Oklahoma City Thunder +9.0 pts toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-3-1
CLV beat
1 of 7

This slate had 8 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 5. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes3 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GamePHX @ MEM› GameDET @ OKC› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›

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