The board is loaded. 5 signals from 6 edges.
March 30, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-30T14:15:26.058484Z
Observation
The model reviewed 8 NBA games on March 30, 2026 and found 6 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 5 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
8 / 2
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
8 of 2
-6 of 2
Top Edge · Settled
Memphis Grizzlies +12.5
4.5%+
Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies
Model: 5.7
·
Close: 12.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
PHX @ MEM
+15.0%
-1.0u
DET @ OKC
-15.0%
Pending
CHI @ SAS
+12.4%
Pending
CLE @ UTA
+9.9%
Pending
WAS @ LAL
+9.1%
Pending
PHI @ MIA
-7.3%
Final PHI 109-119 MIA
MIN @ DAL
+0.3%
Pending
BOS @ ATL
-0.4%
Final BOS 102-112 ATL
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on -6 of 2 settled games.
BOS @ ATL
Open: -1.0
·
Close: -7.5
CHI @ SAS
Open: -18.0
·
Close: -14.5
CLE @ UTA
Open: +17.5
·
Close: +9.5
DET @ OKC
Open: -13.5
·
Close: -4.5
MIN @ DAL
Open: +7.0
·
Close: +26.5
PHI @ MIA
Open: +2.0
·
Close: -8.5
Near Misses
Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Lakers
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Signal missed. Tracked, not removed.
Sharp Principle
A loss that beat the close was a good trade.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›