NBA Market Report | April 20, 2026
Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 0 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.
MEI
0
QUIET
Top Edge
Below 2%
TOR @ CLE
Density
0.0%
0 of 3
Passed
3
of 3
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
MIN @ DEN
7.5
Below 2%
PASS
ATL @ NYK
6.5
Below 2%
PASS
TOR @ CLE
9.5
Below 2%
PASS
Line Movement
Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers
-4.0 pts away
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks
+4.0 pts toward model
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
-2.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7
Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes3 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings›
GameTOR @ CLE›
GameMIN @ DEN›
WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›
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