NBA Market Report | April 22, 2026
Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 1 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.
MEI
21
QUIET
Top Edge
3.5 to 4.4%
PHX @ OKC
Density
0.0%
0 of 2
Passed
2
of 2
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
PHX @ OKC
17.5
3.5 to 4.4%
FILTERED
ORL @ DET
8.5
Below 2%
PASS
Line Movement
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
-7.0 pts away
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
-9.0 pts away
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7
This slate had 2 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 0. Selectivity compounds.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes2 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings›
GamePHX @ OKC›
GameORL @ DET›
WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary›
LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
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