NBA Market Report | April 26, 2026
This slate produced a market efficiency score of 57, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.
MEI
57
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
SAS @ POR
Density
67.0%
2 of 3
Passed
1
of 3
Signal
Signal Published
San Antonio Spurs -4.5
Market
-4.5
Model
-7.7
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
SAS @ POR
-4.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
BOS @ PHI
-8.0
4.5%+
SIGNAL
LAL @ HOU
4.5
3.5 to 4.4%
FILTERED
Line Movement
San Antonio Spurs @ Portland Trail Blazers
+15.0 pts toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
1 of 7
Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 2. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 3.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
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Passes1 games the model passed on›
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GameBOS @ PHI›
WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary›
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TonightHow the slate played out: NBA evening edition›
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