Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

3 signals from tonight's 15 game slate.

Observation

The model reviewed 15 MLB games on April 29, 2026 and found 13 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 3 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
12 / 13
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
12 of 13 1 of 13
Top Edge · Settled
Miami Marlins +1.5 4.5%+
Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers · MIA 3, LAD 2
Model: -0.0 · Close: -1.5 · CLV: +0.0
Win · +0.9u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
TB @ CLE -6.0%
Final TB 1-3 CLE
SEA @ MIN -6.0%
Final SEA 5-3 MIN
MIA @ LAD -6.0%
+0.9u
CHC @ SD -6.0%
Final CHC 5-4 SD
HOU @ BAL -6.0%
Pending
ARI @ MIL +6.0%
Final ARI 6-2 MIL
BOS @ TOR -6.0%
Final BOS 1-8 TOR
KC @ OAK -6.0%
Final KC 1-5 OAK
DET @ ATL -5.8%
Final DET 3-4 ATL
WAS @ NYM -4.6%
Final WAS 14-2 NYM
COL @ CIN -1.4%
Final COL 13-2 CIN
SF @ PHI -3.8%
Pending
STL @ PIT -8.7%
Final STL 5-4 PIT
LAA @ CHW +9.1%
Final LAA 2-3 CHW
NYY @ TEX +10.0%
Final NYY 0-3 TEX
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on 1 of 13 settled games.

LAA @ CHW
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
MIA @ LAD
Open: -1.5 · Close: -1.5
Model edge
ARI @ MIL
Open: +1.5 · Close: -1.5
Market efficient
BOS @ TOR
Open: -1.5 · Close: -6.5
Market efficient
CHC @ SD
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Market efficient
COL @ CIN
Open: -1.5 · Close: -1.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Los Angeles Angels vs Chicago White Sox 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Sharp Principle

The record stays public either way.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
5 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 12 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
This Week's Reports
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Apr 27 Apr 28 Apr 29 Apr 30 May 1 May 2 May 3
Related
Passes12 games the model passed on EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings GameNYY @ TEX GameLAA @ CHW WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting MorningHow the morning called it: MLB market report

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