Market Reports / April 29, 2026

MLB Market Report | April 29, 2026

15 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 72

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 13 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
72
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
NYY @ TEX
Density
20.0%
3 of 15
Passed
12
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Miami Marlins +1.5
MIA @ LAD
Market
1.5
Model
-0.0
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
TB @ CLE -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ MIN -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIA @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHC @ SD -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
HOU @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
ARI @ MIL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BOS @ TOR 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
KC @ OAK -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DET @ ATL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
WAS @ NYM 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
COL @ CIN 1.5 Below 2% PASS
SF @ PHI 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
STL @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
LAA @ CHW 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ TEX 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Los Angeles Angels @ Chicago White Sox -1.9 pp away
Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Dodgers +11.9 pp toward model
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres +8.3 pp toward model
Houston Astros @ Baltimore Orioles +0.4 pp toward model
San Francisco Giants @ Philadelphia Phillies -0.2 pp away
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates +3.1 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
5 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 12 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
Apr 27 Apr 28 Apr 29 Apr 30 May 1 May 2 May 3
Related
Passes12 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameNYY @ TEX› GameLAA @ CHW› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnCLV Calculator› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

Claim Founding Spot