Edge scan complete: 4 picks clear the filter.
May 2, 2026 · Updated 2026-05-02T15:01:19.669214Z
Observation
The model reviewed 15 MLB games on May 2, 2026 and found 12 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 4 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
12 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
12 of 15
3 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
4.5%+
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs · ARI 0, CHC 2
Model: -0.7
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
TOR @ MIN
-6.0%
Final TOR 11-4 MIN
ARI @ CHC
-6.0%
-1.0u
MIL @ WAS
-6.0%
Final MIL 4-1 WAS
HOU @ BOS
-6.0%
Final HOU 6-3 BOS
BAL @ NYY
-6.0%
Final BAL 4-9 NYY
CHW @ SD
-6.0%
Final CHW 4-0 SD
NYM @ LAA
-6.0%
Final NYM 3-3 LAA
PHI @ MIA
-6.0%
Final PHI 0-4 MIA
SF @ TB
-6.0%
Final SF 1-5 TB
ATL @ COL
+4.2%
Final ATL 9-1 COL
CLE @ OAK
-1.0%
Final CLE 14-6 OAK
KC @ SEA
-3.6%
Final KC 1-2 SEA
LAD @ STL
+4.8%
Final LAD 2-3 STL
CIN @ PIT
-6.8%
Final CIN 7-17 PIT
TEX @ DET
-7.1%
Final TEX 1-5 DET
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 3 of 15 settled games.
ATL @ COL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
LAD @ STL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
PHI @ MIA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -1.5
ARI @ CHC
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
BAL @ NYY
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHW @ SD
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
A miss on both axes. The ledger takes it as it is.
Sharp Principle
Process first. Results follow or they do not.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›