Model finds 3 opportunities across 14 edges.
June 6, 2026 · Updated 2026-06-06T16:13:50.957091Z
Observation
Most slates look efficient on the surface. On June 6, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 15 MLB games and found only 3 signals worth sending, with 12 games falling short of the threshold.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
-3.0
CLV Held
11 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
11 of 15
4 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Athletics -1.5
4.5%+
Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros · OAK 2, HOU 13
Model: -2.1
·
Close: -1.5
·
CLV: -3.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
BAL @ TOR
-12.0%
Final BAL 4-6 TOR
OAK @ HOU
-12.0%
-1.0u
BOS @ NYY
+12.0%
Final BOS 0-0 NYY
CLE @ TEX
-12.0%
Final CLE 6-0 TEX
MIL @ COL
+12.0%
Final MIL 7-1 COL
LAA @ LAD
-12.0%
Final LAA 1-9 LAD
TB @ MIA
-12.0%
Final TB 3-4 MIA
NYM @ SD
-10.4%
Final NYM 1-1 SD
WAS @ ARI
-4.8%
Final WAS 6-1 ARI
SF @ CHC
-3.2%
Final SF 2-3 CHC
KC @ MIN
-1.1%
Final KC 3-2 MIN
CHW @ PHI
-3.4%
Final CHW 6-3 PHI
CIN @ STL
-5.5%
Final CIN 5-6 STL
SEA @ DET
+6.5%
Final SEA 4-0 DET
PIT @ ATL
+9.2%
Final PIT 3-6 ATL
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 4 of 15 settled games.
SEA @ DET
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
BAL @ TOR
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -4.5
BOS @ NYY
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CHW @ PHI
Open: -1.5
·
Close: +3.5
CIN @ STL
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
CLE @ TEX
Open: +1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Sharp Principle
The close is the referee.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›