Market Reports / June 3, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 3, 2026

15 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 73

Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On June 3, 2026, that process resulted in 2 published signals and 13 passes.

MEI
73
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
TEX @ STL
Density
13.0%
2 of 15
Passed
13
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Athletics +1.5
OAK @ CHC
Market
1.5
Model
0.7
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
MIA @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
OAK @ CHC 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
SD @ PHI 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PIT @ HOU -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BAL @ BOS 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
LAD @ ARI -1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
KC @ CIN 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
DET @ TB 1.5 Below 2% PASS
SF @ MIL 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CLE @ NYY 1.5 Below 2% PASS
COL @ LAA 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
TOR @ ATL 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CHW @ MIN 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
NYM @ SEA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TEX @ STL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals +0.5 pp toward model
Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays No movement
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins +1.1 pp toward model
San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies -3.2 pp away
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox -1.6 pp away
Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees +0.6 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
6 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 2. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
Jun 1 Jun 2 Jun 3 Jun 4 Jun 5 Jun 6 Jun 7
Related
Passes13 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameTEX @ STL› GameMIA @ WAS› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone›

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

Claim Founding Spot