Market Reports / June 1, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 1, 2026

9 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 70

Most slates look efficient on the surface. On June 1, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 9 MLB games and found only 2 signals worth sending, with 7 games falling short of the threshold.

MEI
70
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
TEX @ STL
Density
22.0%
2 of 9
Passed
7
of 9
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Kansas City Royals +1.5
KC @ CIN
Market
1.5
Model
0.1
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
TEX @ STL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
KC @ CIN 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
DET @ TB 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAD @ ARI -1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
CHW @ MIN 1.5 Below 2% PASS
COL @ LAA 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
MIA @ WAS 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
NYM @ SEA 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
SF @ MIL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays +2.4 pp toward model
Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals +0.7 pp toward model
Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds +10.7 pp toward model
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins +2.8 pp toward model
San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers +1.9 pp toward model
Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals +0.5 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
6 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes7 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameTEX @ STL› GameSF @ MIL› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play›

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