MLB Market Report | June 7, 2026
The model reviewed 9 MLB games on June 7, 2026 and found 7 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 4 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.
MEI
79
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
OAK @ HOU
Density
44.0%
4 of 9
Passed
5
of 9
Signal
Signal Published
Athletics -1.5
Market
-1.5
Model
-2.6
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL
A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
OAK @ HOU
-1.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
NYM @ SD
-1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
LAA @ LAD
1.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
MIL @ COL
1.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
CLE @ TEX
1.5
4.5%+
SIGNAL
CIN @ STL
1.5
2 to 3.4%
PASS
SF @ CHC
1.5
2 to 3.4%
PASS
WAS @ ARI
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
KC @ MIN
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
Line Movement
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves
No movement
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
No movement
Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
No movement
Tampa Bay Rays @ Miami Marlins
No movement
Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers
+13.2 pp toward model
San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs
-2.8 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
6 of 7
The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 5 games like these that you do not play.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes5 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
GameOAK @ HOU›
GameNYM @ SD›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play›
TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›
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