Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

Dogs leading the edge board: 7 underdog vs 2 favorite.

Observation

Most slates look efficient on the surface. On June 7, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 9 MLB games and found only 4 signals worth sending, with 5 games falling short of the threshold.

Slate Result
+1.5u
Net · 1-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
7 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
7 of 15 8 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Athletics -1.5 4.5%+
Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros · OAK 5, HOU 0
Model: -2.6 · Close: 1.5 · CLV: +0.0
Win · +1.5u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
OAK @ HOU -12.0%
+1.5u
NYM @ SD -12.0%
Final NYM 7-3 SD
LAA @ LAD -10.4%
Final LAA 13-5 LAD
MIL @ COL +7.1%
Final MIL 12-4 COL
CLE @ TEX -6.1%
Final CLE 0-10 TEX
CIN @ STL -2.5%
Final CIN 3-5 STL
SF @ CHC -2.1%
Final SF 2-1 CHC
WAS @ ARI -4.9%
Final WAS 1-5 ARI
KC @ MIN +8.7%
Final KC 6-5 MIN
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on 8 of 15 settled games.

KC @ MIN
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
OAK @ HOU
Open: +1.5 · Close: +4.5
Model edge
CIN @ STL
Open: -1.5 · Close: -1.5
Market efficient
CLE @ TEX
Open: -1.5 · Close: -7.5
Market efficient
LAA @ LAD
Open: -1.5 · Close: -1.5
Market efficient
MIL @ COL
Open: +1.5 · Close: +5.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
New York Mets vs San Diego Padres 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The entries held and the close agreed. Both matter.
Sharp Principle

Graded on the close, not the final score.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
6 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 4. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
This Week's Reports
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Related
Passes5 games the model passed on EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings GameOAK @ HOU GameNYM @ SD WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone MorningHow the morning called it: MLB market report

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