Market Reports / June 2, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 2, 2026

15 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 83

Most slates look efficient on the surface. On June 2, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 15 MLB games and found only 3 signals worth sending, with 12 games falling short of the threshold.

MEI
83
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
TEX @ STL
Density
20.0%
3 of 15
Passed
12
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Cleveland Guardians +1.5
CLE @ NYY
Market
1.5
Model
-0.2
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
CLE @ NYY 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
KC @ CIN 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TOR @ ATL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PIT @ HOU -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIA @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SF @ MIL 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAD @ ARI -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SD @ PHI 1.5 Below 2% PASS
NYM @ SEA 1.5 Below 2% PASS
BAL @ BOS 1.5 Below 2% PASS
DET @ TB 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
OAK @ CHC 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
COL @ LAA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHW @ MIN 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TEX @ STL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays -1.1 pp away
San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies -3.8 pp away
Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox -0.4 pp away
Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees No movement
Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds -0.8 pp away
Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves -0.4 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
6 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 12 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes12 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameTEX @ STL› GameCLE @ NYY› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone›

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