Market Reports / May 31, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 31, 2026

14 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 83

The model reviewed 14 MLB games on May 31, 2026 and found 8 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 3 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

MEI
83
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
BOS @ CLE
Density
21.0%
3 of 14
Passed
11
of 14
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Signal
Signal Published
Los Angeles Angels +1.5
LAA @ TB
Market
1.5
Model
-0.3
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
SD @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
LAA @ TB 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
KC @ TEX -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHI @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHC @ STL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SF @ COL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIA @ NYM 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
MIN @ PIT 1.5 Below 2% PASS
MIL @ HOU -1.5 Below 2% PASS
NYY @ OAK 1.5 Below 2% PASS
DET @ CHW 1.5 Below 2% PASS
ARI @ SEA 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
ATL @ CIN 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BOS @ CLE 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles No movement
Minnesota Twins @ Pittsburgh Pirates -1.3 pp away
San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals -3.8 pp away
Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds No movement
Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Guardians +3.1 pp toward model
Los Angeles Angels @ Tampa Bay Rays -0.2 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
6 of 7

This slate had 14 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 3. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes11 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameBOS @ CLE› GameSD @ WAS› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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