Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

Edge scan complete: 3 picks clear the filter.

Observation

The model reviewed 14 MLB games on May 31, 2026 and found 8 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 3 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
11 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
11 of 15 4 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Los Angeles Angels +1.5 4.5%+
Los Angeles Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays · LAA 2, TB 5
Model: -0.3 · Close: -1.5 · CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
SD @ WAS -12.0%
Final SD 2-4 WAS
LAA @ TB -12.0%
-1.0u
KC @ TEX -12.0%
Final KC 3-6 TEX
PHI @ LAD -12.0%
Final PHI 1-9 LAD
CHC @ STL -12.0%
Final CHC 1-5 STL
SF @ COL -10.5%
Final SF 19-6 COL
MIA @ NYM -3.2%
Final MIA 1-10 NYM
MIN @ PIT -1.4%
Final MIN 3-9 PIT
MIL @ HOU -0.5%
Final MIL 2-0 HOU
NYY @ OAK +1.2%
Final NYY 13-8 OAK
DET @ CHW -1.3%
Final DET 1-2 CHW
ARI @ SEA -3.1%
Final ARI 2-3 SEA
ATL @ CIN +6.5%
Final ATL 4-6 CIN
BOS @ CLE +14.3%
Final BOS 9-4 CLE
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on 4 of 15 settled games.

ATL @ CIN
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
BOS @ CLE
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
NYY @ OAK
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Model edge
ARI @ SEA
Open: -1.5 · Close: -1.5
Market efficient
CHC @ STL
Open: +1.5 · Close: +1.5
Market efficient
DET @ CHW
Open: -1.5 · Close: -1.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Wrong side tonight. The record shows it because the record shows everything.
Sharp Principle

Nothing removed. Ever.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
6 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 11 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
This Week's Reports
← Previous report Next report →
May 25 May 26 May 27 May 28 May 29 May 30 May 31
Related
Passes11 games the model passed on EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings GameBOS @ CLE GameSD @ WAS WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary LearnBetween the Lines: Betting from Your Phone MorningHow the morning called it: MLB market report

Only the signal layer is hidden.

Full model output. Live alerts. Bet tracking. One pick beats five.

See Tomorrow's Setup