Market Reports / May 25, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 25, 2026

13 games analyzed 4 signals MEI: 80

Most slates look efficient on the surface. On May 25, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 13 MLB games and found only 4 signals worth sending, with 9 games falling short of the threshold.

MEI
80
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
MIN @ CHW
Density
31.0%
4 of 13
Passed
9
of 13
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
TB @ BAL
Market
-1.5
Model
-2.4
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
TB @ BAL -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHI @ SD -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
HOU @ TEX 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
STL @ MIL 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
COL @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ARI @ SF 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ OAK 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIA @ TOR 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CIN @ NYM 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
WAS @ CLE 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ KC 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHC @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIN @ CHW 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates No movement
Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox No movement
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers No movement
New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals -10.8 pp away
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants +0.2 pp toward model
Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians -0.1 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
5 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 4. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes9 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameMIN @ CHW› GameTB @ BAL› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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