Market Reports / May 24, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 24, 2026

15 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 76

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 7 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
76
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
STL @ CIN
Density
13.0%
2 of 15
Passed
13
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
STL @ CIN
Market
1.5
Model
0.9
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
STL @ CIN 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
TEX @ LAA 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
DET @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
OAK @ SD 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
PIT @ TOR 1.5 Below 2% PASS
SEA @ KC 1.5 Below 2% PASS
COL @ ARI 1.5 Below 2% PASS
LAD @ MIL 1.5 Below 2% PASS
HOU @ CHC 1.5 Below 2% PASS
MIN @ BOS 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
WAS @ ATL 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
NYM @ MIA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TB @ NYY 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CLE @ PHI 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHW @ SF 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays No movement
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox No movement
Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies No movement
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees +0.2 pp toward model
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds No movement
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins No movement
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
5 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 2. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes13 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameSTL @ CIN› GameTEX @ LAA› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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