The market is overpricing every favorite tonight.
May 24, 2026 · Updated 2026-05-24T16:13:56.902788Z
Observation
Selectivity is part of the product. Rather than forcing action on every game, SharpPicks filters for true mispricing and leaves the rest alone. On May 24, 2026, that process resulted in 2 published signals and 13 passes.
Slate Result
+0.0u
Net · 0-0-0
+0.0
CLV Held
10 / 14
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
10 of 14
4 of 14
Top Edge · Settled
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
4.5%+
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds
Model: 0.9
·
Close: 1.5
·
CLV: --
Pending
Edge Map
STL @ CIN
-12.0%
Pending
TEX @ LAA
-12.0%
Final TEX 1-2 LAA
DET @ BAL
+12.0%
Final DET 4-1 BAL
OAK @ SD
-4.4%
Final OAK 5-2 SD
PIT @ TOR
-0.4%
Final PIT 4-1 TOR
SEA @ KC
+0.1%
Final SEA 6-8 KC
COL @ ARI
0%
Final COL 1-9 ARI
LAD @ MIL
+0.9%
Final LAD 5-1 MIL
HOU @ CHC
-1.1%
Final HOU 8-5 CHC
MIN @ BOS
-2.4%
Final MIN 6-5 BOS
WAS @ ATL
-4.1%
Final WAS 2-1 ATL
NYM @ MIA
+5.3%
Final NYM 0-4 MIA
TB @ NYY
-8.4%
Final TB 0-2 NYY
CLE @ PHI
+9.3%
Final CLE 3-1 PHI
CHW @ SF
+11.1%
Final CHW 5-8 SF
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 4 of 14 settled games.
CLE @ PHI
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
DET @ BAL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
LAD @ MIL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
CHW @ SF
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
COL @ ARI
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
HOU @ CHC
Open: -1.5
·
Close: -1.5
Near Misses
Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Chicago White Sox vs San Francisco Giants
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The board paid. The process is why.
Sharp Principle
Every signal tracked. Nothing removed.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›