MLB Market Report | May 23, 2026
Most slates look efficient on the surface. On May 23, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 14 MLB games and found only 0 signals worth sending, with 14 games falling short of the threshold.
MEI
72
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
DET @ BAL
Density
0.0%
0 of 14
Passed
14
of 14
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
DET @ BAL
-1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
CHW @ SF
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
PIT @ TOR
-1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
WAS @ ATL
-1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
HOU @ CHC
1.5
3.5 to 4.4%
FILTERED
NYM @ MIA
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
SEA @ KC
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
COL @ ARI
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
CLE @ PHI
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
LAD @ MIL
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
STL @ CIN
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
TEX @ LAA
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
MIN @ BOS
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
OAK @ SD
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
Line Movement
Houston Astros @ Chicago Cubs
-1.0 pp away
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays
No movement
Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles
-0.9 pp away
Chicago White Sox @ San Francisco Giants
-1.9 pp away
Cleveland Guardians @ Philadelphia Phillies
+1.9 pp toward model
Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves
-2.1 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
5 of 7
This slate had 14 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 0. Selectivity compounds.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
Related
Passes14 games the model passed on›
EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings›
GameDET @ BAL›
GameCHW @ SF›
WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary›
LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›
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