Market Reports / May 19, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 19, 2026

15 games analyzed 0 signals MEI: 74

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 74, signaling a high opportunity environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
74
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
BAL @ TB
Density
0.0%
0 of 15
Passed
15
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
No game cleared the qualification filter on this slate

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
BAL @ TB 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BOS @ KC -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
LAD @ SD 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
NYM @ WAS 1.5 Below 2% PASS
ATL @ MIA 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
CLE @ DET 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
OAK @ LAA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
HOU @ MIN 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHW @ SEA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TOR @ NYY 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CIN @ PHI 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIL @ CHC 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PIT @ STL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TEX @ COL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SF @ ARI 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins -1.6 pp away
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays No movement
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies -1.7 pp away
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers -7.8 pp away
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals +2.1 pp toward model
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees -0.7 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
4 of 7

This slate had 15 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 0. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes15 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameBAL @ TB› GameSF @ ARI› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnCLV Calculator›

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