Market Reports / May 20, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 20, 2026

15 games analyzed 0 signals MEI: 75

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 10 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
75
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
BAL @ TB
Density
0.0%
0 of 15
Passed
15
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
No game cleared the qualification filter on this slate

Efficient markets create fewer mistakes to exploit. On slates like this one, the strongest move is often restraint.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
BAL @ TB 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BOS @ KC -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PIT @ STL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CLE @ DET -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
OAK @ LAA -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIL @ CHC -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TOR @ NYY 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
ATL @ MIA 1.5 Below 2% PASS
LAD @ SD 1.5 Below 2% PASS
TEX @ COL 1.5 Below 2% PASS
HOU @ MIN 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CIN @ PHI 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHW @ SEA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYM @ WAS 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SF @ ARI 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 pp away
Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays -1.6 pp away
Houston Astros @ Minnesota Twins No movement
Texas Rangers @ Colorado Rockies +1.6 pp toward model
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks -0.6 pp away
Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners +0.6 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
3-4
CLV beat
4 of 7

The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 15 games like these that you do not play.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes15 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameBAL @ TB› GameBOS @ KC› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›

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