MLB Market Report | May 28, 2026
Most slates look efficient on the surface. On May 28, 2026, SharpPicks analyzed 6 MLB games and found only 0 signals worth sending, with 6 games falling short of the threshold.
MEI
57
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
TOR @ BAL
Density
0.0%
0 of 6
Passed
6
of 6
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
Most games never become signals. That is usually a sign of market efficiency, not a missed opportunity.
Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
CHC @ PIT
1.5
2 to 3.4%
PASS
ATL @ BOS
1.5
3.5 to 4.4%
FILTERED
MIN @ CHW
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
HOU @ TEX
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
LAA @ DET
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
TOR @ BAL
1.5
4.5%+
FILTERED
Line Movement
Los Angeles Angels @ Detroit Tigers
-0.9 pp away
Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox
-8.7 pp away
Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox
+0.6 pp toward model
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
-0.2 pp away
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates
No movement
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers
+2.7 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
6 of 7
The difference between a winning year and a losing one is usually not the picks you hit. It is the 6 games like these that you do not play.
Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
This Week's Reports
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