Market Reports / May 29, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 29, 2026

15 games analyzed 1 signal MEI: 74

The model reviewed 15 MLB games on May 29, 2026 and found 10 spots with measurable disagreement versus the market. Only 1 cleared the full qualification filter, which is consistent with SharpPicks' selective approach.

MEI
74
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
PHI @ LAD
Density
7.0%
1 of 15
Passed
14
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Boston Red Sox +1.5
BOS @ CLE
Market
1.5
Model
0.8
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
SD @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
BOS @ CLE 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
MIA @ NYM -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ OAK -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SF @ COL -1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
ATL @ CIN 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
ARI @ SEA 1.5 Below 2% PASS
LAA @ TB 1.5 Below 2% PASS
KC @ TEX 1.5 Below 2% PASS
CHC @ STL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TOR @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIN @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIL @ HOU 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
DET @ CHW 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PHI @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds +0.8 pp toward model
Minnesota Twins @ Pittsburgh Pirates No movement
San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals -1.4 pp away
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles +1.5 pp toward model
Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Guardians -1.2 pp away
Los Angeles Angels @ Tampa Bay Rays +1.7 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
6 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes14 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GamePHI @ LAD› GameSD @ WAS› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting›

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