Market Reports / May 27, 2026

MLB Market Report | May 27, 2026

15 games analyzed 1 signal MEI: 74

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 74, signaling a high opportunity environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
74
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
CHC @ PIT
Density
7.0%
1 of 15
Passed
14
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Colorado Rockies +1.5
COL @ LAD
Market
1.5
Model
0.4
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
ATL @ BOS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CIN @ NYM -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
COL @ LAD 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
ARI @ SF -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIN @ CHW -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PHI @ SD -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ KC -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
LAA @ DET -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
WAS @ CLE 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIA @ TOR 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
STL @ MIL 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
SEA @ OAK 1.5 Below 2% PASS
HOU @ TEX 1.5 Below 2% PASS
TB @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
CHC @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Miami Marlins @ Toronto Blue Jays +0.2 pp toward model
Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians +2.2 pp toward model
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers -3.0 pp away
Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres -5.6 pp away
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles -1.9 pp away
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates +2.6 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
4-3
CLV beat
6 of 7

This slate had 15 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 1. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes14 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameCHC @ PIT› GameATL @ BOS› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnWhy We Pass More Than We Play›

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