Model finds 2 opportunities across 14 edges.
June 23, 2026 · Updated 2026-06-23T16:14:55.241743Z
Observation
Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 12 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.
Slate Result
-1.0u
Net · 0-1-0
+0.0
CLV Held
10 / 15
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient
Model edge
10 of 15
5 of 15
Top Edge · Settled
Minnesota Twins +1.5
4.5%+
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Minnesota Twins · LAD 12, MIN 3
Model: 0.2
·
Close: 1.5
·
CLV: +0.0
Loss · -1.0u
Variance is the cost of doing business. CLV held against close.
Edge Map
CLE @ CHW
-12.0%
Final CLE 1-2 CHW
ATL @ SD
-12.0%
Final ATL 6-5 SD
MIL @ CIN
-9.3%
Final MIL 2-0 CIN
LAD @ MIN
+8.9%
-1.0u
CHC @ NYM
-8.7%
Final CHC 9-6 NYM
KC @ TB
-5.9%
Final KC 12-5 TB
PHI @ WAS
+4.2%
Final PHI 14-9 WAS
BAL @ LAA
-4.1%
Final BAL 1-5 LAA
BOS @ COL
-0.4%
Final BOS 5-2 COL
OAK @ SF
-8.7%
Final OAK 1-2 SF
TEX @ MIA
-10.7%
Final TEX 4-6 MIA
SEA @ PIT
+11.3%
Final SEA 3-2 PIT
HOU @ TOR
-11.7%
Final HOU 9-7 TOR
NYY @ DET
+12.4%
Final NYY 4-3 DET
ARI @ STL
+15.3%
Final ARI 4-3 STL
Closing Line Audit
Market closed within model fair value on 5 of 15 settled games.
ARI @ STL
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
HOU @ TOR
Open: -1.5
·
Close: +1.5
NYY @ DET
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
SEA @ PIT
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
ATL @ SD
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
BAL @ LAA
Open: +1.5
·
Close: +1.5
Near Misses
Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox
4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Implication
The entry did not hold and the close did not help. Logged either way.
Sharp Principle
Receipts over narratives.
How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›