Market Reports / June 26, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 26, 2026

15 games analyzed 3 signals MEI: 82

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 82, signaling a high opportunity environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
82
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
HOU @ DET
Density
20.0%
3 of 15
Passed
12
of 15
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Signal
Signal Published
Athletics -1.5
OAK @ LAA
Market
-1.5
Model
-2.1
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

Passing is a decision, not an absence of one. These games remained below the level required for official publication.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
TEX @ TOR -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIA @ STL -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
OAK @ LAA -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
LAD @ SD -1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CIN @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHI @ NYM -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ARI @ TB 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
CHC @ MIL 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
COL @ MIN 1.5 2 to 3.4% PASS
WAS @ BAL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
KC @ CHW 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ATL @ SF 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ CLE 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ BOS 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
HOU @ DET 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 pp toward model
Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers -1.7 pp away
Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles -0.4 pp away
Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays -0.9 pp away
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays +0.7 pp toward model
New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox +0.9 pp toward model
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
5-2
CLV beat
4 of 7

This slate had 15 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 3. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes12 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameHOU @ DET› GameTEX @ TOR› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnCLV Calculator›

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