Market Reports / June 25, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 25, 2026

8 games analyzed 0 signals MEI: 67

This slate produced a market efficiency score of 67, signaling a active environment. That matters because higher efficiency usually means fewer exploitable gaps between the model and the market.

MEI
67
ACTIVE
Top Edge
4.5%+
CHC @ NYM
Density
0.0%
0 of 8
Passed
8
of 8
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
No Signal Today
Full slate passed
No game cleared the qualification filter on this slate

SharpPicks treats discipline as part of the edge. When projected value stays below the qualification line, the game is logged as a pass rather than forced into action.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
CHC @ NYM -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ BOS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
PHI @ WAS -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TEX @ TOR 1.5 Below 2% PASS
SEA @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
OAK @ SF 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ARI @ STL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
HOU @ DET 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays No movement
Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates -1.0 pp away
Athletics @ San Francisco Giants No movement
Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers No movement
Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals -2.1 pp away
Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays No movement
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
5-2
CLV beat
4 of 7

This slate had 8 games. A typical bettor might scan all of them and find reasons to play half. SharpPicks qualified 0. Selectivity compounds.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes8 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameCHC @ NYM› GameHOU @ DET› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnThe Real Cost of a Bad Bet›

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