Market Reports / June 23, 2026

MLB Market Report | June 23, 2026

15 games analyzed 2 signals MEI: 81

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 12 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

MEI
81
HIGH OPPORTUNITY
Top Edge
4.5%+
ARI @ STL
Density
13.0%
2 of 15
Passed
13
of 15
Track your edge → Check your CLV →
Signal
Signal Published
Minnesota Twins +1.5
LAD @ MIN
Market
1.5
Model
0.2
Edge
4.5%+
Status
SIGNAL

A pass does not mean nothing happened. It means the market price stayed close enough to the model projection that no durable edge was detected.

Game Breakdown
MatchupSpreadEdgeStatus
CLE @ CHW -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ATL @ SD -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
MIL @ CIN -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
LAD @ MIN 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
CHC @ NYM -1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
KC @ TB 1.5 4.5%+ SIGNAL
PHI @ WAS 1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
BAL @ LAA -1.5 3.5 to 4.4% FILTERED
BOS @ COL -1.5 Below 2% PASS
OAK @ SF 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
TEX @ MIA 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
SEA @ PIT 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
HOU @ TOR 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
NYY @ DET 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
ARI @ STL 1.5 4.5%+ FILTERED
Line Movement
New York Yankees @ Detroit Tigers -1.5 pp away
Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays -0.6 pp away
Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates -2.3 pp away
Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals +0.2 pp toward model
Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets +9.2 pp toward model
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds -2.0 pp away
Last 7 graded signals ยท MLB
Record
6-1
CLV beat
4 of 7

Most bettors would have played 3 to 5 games on this slate. SharpPicks found 2. The gap between those two numbers is where edge lives.

Common Questions
What is a market efficiency score?
The Market Efficiency Index (MEI) measures disagreement between the SharpPicks model and market prices across a full slate. Higher scores indicate more potential opportunity.
Why were most games passed?
A game is passed when the model's projected edge falls below the 4.5% qualification threshold. The market price is close enough to the model's estimate that betting offers no meaningful expected value.
What makes a game qualify as a signal?
A signal requires the model's edge to exceed 3.5% AND pass confidence and validation filters. The four ensemble models must show sufficient agreement on direction.
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Related
Passes13 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's MLB edge rankings› GameARI @ STL› GameNYY @ DET› WeeklyMLB Weekly Summary› LearnBeginner's Guide to Sports Betting› TonightHow the slate played out: MLB evening edition›

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