Market Reports / March 20, 2026 / Evening Edition

NBA Slate Recap | March 20, 2026

6 games analyzed 3 signals Net: +0.9u
Slate Recap · Sharp Journal · Evening Edition · 2 min read

Signal density at 50 percent. The market is mispricing tonight.

March 20, 2026 · Updated 2026-03-20T18:13:13.312062Z
Evan Cole · Head of Signal Intelligence
Observation

Signal volume stayed restrained on this slate. SharpPicks found 4 edges, but only the strongest setups survived the confidence and qualification filters before publication.

Slate Result
+0.9u
Net · 1-0-0
+2.0
CLV Held
4 / 2
Markets Efficient
Bias
Market efficient Model edge
4 of 2 -2 of 2
Top Edge · Settled
Detroit Pistons -4.5 4.5%+
Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons · GSW 101, DET 115
Model: -10.3 · Close: -6.5 · CLV: +2.0
Win · +0.9u
Signal cleared. The model's read held against close.
Edge Map
NYK @ BKN +8.0%
Final NYK 93-92 BKN
GSW @ DET +8.0%
+0.9u
ATL @ HOU -8.0%
Pending
BOS @ MEM -7.9%
Pending
TOR @ DEN -2.5%
Pending
POR @ MIN -0.3%
Pending
Closing Line Audit

Market closed within model fair value on -2 of 2 settled games.

GSW @ DET
Open: -6.5 · Close: -16.5
Model edge
ATL @ HOU
Open: -4.0 · Close: -21.5
Market efficient
BOS @ MEM
Open: +15.0 · Close: +8.5
Market efficient
POR @ MIN
Open: -3.0 · Close: +4.5
Market efficient
TOR @ DEN
Open: -7.0 · Close: -5.5
Market efficient
Near Misses
New York Knicks vs Brooklyn Nets 4.5%+
Edge below threshold.
Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets 2 to 3.4%
Edge below threshold.
Implication
Cleared, closed, banked. The ledger records it without adjectives.
Sharp Principle

The record stays public either way.

How the morning called it
Read the morning edition ›
›
Last 7 graded signals ยท NBA
Record
3-4
CLV beat
2 of 7

Every passed game on this slate represents capital preserved. Over a season, the passes matter more than the signals.

Common Questions
What is CLV?
Closing Line Value measures whether the price you got on a bet was better than the closing line. Positive CLV correlates with long-term profitability. The evening edition reports CLV against the closing line and against model fair value separately.
Why no red L badges on losses?
Outcomes are reported without color-coded punishment. A loss is a data point, not a failure. The framework holds when every signal is verified and every pass is documented, regardless of how any single result fell.
What is a pass day?
A pass day is a slate where the model issued zero signals. Pass days are not missed opportunities. They are the system refusing to manufacture signals where the data does not support them.
This Week's Reports
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Related
Passes3 games the model passed on› EdgesToday's NBA edge rankings› GameNYK @ BKN› GameGSW @ DET› WeeklyNBA Weekly Summary› LearnCLV Calculator› MorningHow the morning called it: NBA market report›

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